V2.1 Holy Grail w/RSI Divination - without VIXen [CMP mod 2] (backtest version)
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules-based “risk‑on/risk‑off” plan. It rides uptrends with 3x S&P/Nasdaq funds (UPRO/TQQQ) and, when markets look weak or overheated, moves to T‑bills/bonds or hedges with inverse and volatility funds (VXX, SQQQ, SDOW). Uses VXX to avoid K‑1s.
1) First, it checks if the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200‑day average.
• If yes (risk‑on): the portfolio splits in half. Each half buys 3x S&P (UPRO) or 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ) when momentum is strong and volatility is calm, but shifts to cash‑like T‑bills (BIL) or hedges (VXX/SQQQ/SDOW) when prices look overbought. RSI is a 0–100 “hot/cold” gauge.
• If no (risk‑off): it mostly holds T‑bills/bonds (BIL/AGG/TMF), sometimes gold (GLD) or hedges, and only buys dips in Nasdaq if deeply oversold.
Note: uses VXX (not UVXY) to avoid K‑1 forms.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~42.6% vs SPY ~18.1%, with Calmar ~0.97. It leverages uptrends and uses risk-off hedges in downturns, targeting higher long-term growth while avoiding K-1s via VXX.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.99 | 0.61 | 0.06 | 0.24 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 610.2% | 14.8% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.91 | |
| 148,910,949.22% | 172.04% | 2.89% | 5.95% | 2.54 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$14,891,104,922.05Regulatory Fees
$37,696,936.30
Total Slippage
$271,102,570.55
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 21, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend following, momentum, volatility hedging, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 15 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SDOW
ProShares UltraPro Short Dow 30
Stocks
SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks