v20231123 UPRO 60d BND, 2d BND, 15d drawdown, 5d Vix + Volatility checks
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules-based switcher: ride UPRO (3× S&P 500) in calm regimes, flip to UVXY on “overheated” signals, and rotate to Treasuries, gold, or the dollar when rising-rate stress appears. Uses leveraged funds; expect high volatility and fast moves.
- Overheat tripwire: It watches many stock ETFs (tech, growth/value, staples, discretionary, financials). If any look “too hot” (RSI = simple overbought meter), it moves to UVXY, a fund that jumps when volatility (VIX) spikes.
- If not hot, it checks rates by comparing 60‑day BND vs a T‑bill fund (BIL).
• Not rising: mostly UPRO (3× S&P 500). After a >5% 15‑day drop, a VIX check picks UPRO or TMF (3× Treasuries).
• Rising: rotate into the 2 strongest of GLD (gold), IEF (7–10y Treasuries), UUP (US dollar), TMF; sometimes keep cash; sometimes keep 33% UPRO.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 1.17 vs SPY 0.97; ~60% annualized return vs 16.8%; Calmar ~1.16— stronger risk-adjusted upside. Note: max drawdown ~52%, reflecting a high-octane, regime-driven strategy for higher risk tolerance.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.85 | 0.6 | 0.04 | 0.21 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 530.44% | 14.32% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.88 | |
| 8,749,563.64% | 128.67% | -1.94% | 4.94% | 1.93 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$874,966,363.59Regulatory Fees
$2,649,186.48
Total Slippage
$19,027,196.92
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 8, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged equities, volatility hedging, macro regime, momentum, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Shares
Stocks
SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks