v20231123 UPRO 60d BND, 2d BND, 15d drawdown, 5d Vix + Volatility checks
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Aggressive, tactical plan: normally 3x S&P 500 (UPRO). If markets look overheated, it pivots to UVXY. Uses bonds vs T‑bills to judge rates; in drawdowns/volatility may switch to long Treasuries. In rising‑rate regimes, mixes UPRO with gold/treasuries/US dollar.
Usually holds UPRO (3x S&P 500). If the market looks overheated, it switches to UVXY (a volatility spike fund) briefly. Otherwise it infers the rate trend by comparing bonds vs T‑bills. If rates steady/falling: stay in UPRO, unless a fresh 15‑day >5% drop with high vol, then use TMF (3x long Treasuries). If rates rising: hold 33% UPRO + 67% of the best two among GLD (gold), IEF (7–10y Treasuries), UUP (US dollar) on a bond bounce; otherwise just those hedges.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers higher risk-adjusted returns than the S&P 500: Sharpe ~1.11 vs ~0.98, Calmar ~1.12, and ~58% annualized return vs ~17% for SPY, with much lower beta (~0.69). Note: drawdowns can be larger in extreme crises.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.85 | 0.57 | 0.04 | 0.2 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511.42% | 13.89% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.86 | |
| 8,525,603.54% | 126.1% | -4.82% | -1.14% | 1.89 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$852,570,353.50Regulatory Fees
$2,799,615.73
Total Slippage
$20,108,878.84
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 8, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, rates regime, momentum filter
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks