v20231123 UPRO 60d BND, 2d BND, 15d drawdown, 5d Vix + Volatility checks
Today’s Change (Sep 21, 2026)
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About
Aggressive, tactical plan: normally 3x S&P 500 (UPRO). If markets look overheated, it pivots to UVXY. Uses bonds vs T‑bills to judge rates; in drawdowns/volatility may switch to long Treasuries. In rising‑rate regimes, mixes UPRO with gold/treasuries/US dollar.
Usually holds UPRO (3x S&P 500). If the market looks overheated, it switches to UVXY (a volatility spike fund) briefly. Otherwise it infers the rate trend by comparing bonds vs T‑bills. If rates steady/falling: stay in UPRO, unless a fresh 15‑day >5% drop with high vol, then use TMF (3x long Treasuries). If rates rising: hold 33% UPRO + 67% of the best two among GLD (gold), IEF (7–10y Treasuries), UUP (US dollar) on a bond bounce; otherwise just those hedges.
High upside with hedges: 31.1% annualized out-of-sample return vs SPY ~16.9%; Calmar ~0.60. Uses dynamic hedges (volatility spike, Treasuries, gold, USD) to pursue bigger gains while aiming to control risk—though drawdowns can be large in stress.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.79 | 0.57 | 0.04 | 0.19 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 599.7% | 14.44% | -0.5% | 2.26% | 0.9 | |
| 6,391,392.92% | 115.35% | -1.44% | -2.4% | 1.81 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$639,149,291.51Regulatory Fees
$2,143,346.47
Total Slippage
$20,659,179.15
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 8, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, rates regime, momentum filter
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks