v20231123 UPRO 60d BND, 2d BND, 15d drawdown, 5d Vix + Volatility checks
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
An aggressive stock strategy that usually holds 3x S&P 500, but switches to volatility protection or defensive assets when markets look overheated, shaky, or interest rates appear to be rising.
This strategy usually tries to own UPRO, a fund that aims to deliver 3x the daily move of the S&P 500, when conditions look good.
But first it checks whether many parts of the market look too hot using RSI, a speedometer for recent price gains. If any key area looks extremely overheated, it moves to UVXY, a fund that tends to rise when market fear jumps.
If markets are not overheated, it looks at bonds to judge whether interest rates are rising. If bond trends look healthy, it stays mostly in UPRO, unless stocks have recently dropped and volatility is high—then it switches to TMF, a leveraged long-bond fund.
If rates look unfavorable, it rotates into defensive assets like gold, Treasury bonds, or the U.S. dollar, and may keep only a small stock position.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~29.8% vs S&P 500 ~15.4%. Dynamic hedges (UVXY, gold, bonds) protect during volatility and rate shifts, aiming for higher upside with disciplined risk control—though stressed periods can bring larger drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.79 | 0.57 | 0.04 | 0.19 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 604.4% | 14.35% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.89 | |
| 6,466,390.09% | 114.04% | 0.37% | -0.79% | 1.8 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$646,649,008.96Regulatory Fees
$2,264,185.88
Total Slippage
$21,822,705.84
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jul 8, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged etfs, risk management, volatility hedge, market regime, us equities, defensive rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks