V2.01 | Cautious Fund Surfing | Garen Sorting
Today’s Change (Apr 19, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily, rules‑based rotation that shifts between 3× stock funds (UPRO, TQQQ), 3× long bonds (TMF), and a safety trio (UUP, GLD, XLP). It buys big dips, favors calm uptrends, and steps aside in choppy markets using multiple timeframes.
It splits money into 3 sleeves tuned to calm/normal/choppy markets. Each day it picks the 2 best‑recent lookbacks (14–42d). Using a simple heat check (stocks vs T‑bills), recent drawdowns, and 5‑day “dip” tests, it either: 1) loads UPRO/TQQQ (3× stocks) balanced by risk, 2) runs a 55/45 UPRO/TQQQ+TMF mix, or 3) parks in UUP, GLD, XLP (safety). Rebalanced daily.
Dynamic, rules-based rotation with leveraged stock/bond exposure and risk-off hedges. Out-of-sample annualized return ~41% vs SPY ~19%, with strong rally capture. Trade-off: higher drawdowns/beta, but diversified across market regimes.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3 | 1.67 | 0.58 | 0.76 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 704.78% | 14.01% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.85 | |
| 179,180.22% | 60.16% | 12.7% | 7.06% | 1.44 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$17,928,022.25Regulatory Fees
$30,994.10
Total Slippage
$199,587.54
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 16, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etf rotation, regime switching, volatility targeting, dip buying, risk-parity, defensive hedges
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks