V2.01 | Cautious Fund Surfing | Garen Sorting
Today’s Change (Aug 23, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily, rules‑based rotation that shifts between 3× stock funds (UPRO, TQQQ), 3× long bonds (TMF), and a safety trio (UUP, GLD, XLP). It buys big dips, favors calm uptrends, and steps aside in choppy markets using multiple timeframes.
It splits money into 3 sleeves tuned to calm/normal/choppy markets. Each day it picks the 2 best‑recent lookbacks (14–42d). Using a simple heat check (stocks vs T‑bills), recent drawdowns, and 5‑day “dip” tests, it either: 1) loads UPRO/TQQQ (3× stocks) balanced by risk, 2) runs a 55/45 UPRO/TQQQ+TMF mix, or 3) parks in UUP, GLD, XLP (safety). Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample edge: ~35% annualized return vs ~19% for the S&P, achieved by a disciplined, regime-switching rotation among leveraged stocks, bonds, and hedges. Higher drawdowns, but far higher upside for risk-tolerant investors.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.29 | 1.68 | 0.59 | 0.77 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 770.04% | 14.24% | 2.33% | 3.36% | 0.87 | |
| 219,062.66% | 60.54% | 3.61% | 8.37% | 1.45 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$21,916,265.66Regulatory Fees
$27,605.31
Total Slippage
$232,102.53
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 16, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etf rotation, regime switching, volatility targeting, dip buying, risk-parity, defensive hedges
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks
XLP
State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks