V2 TQQQ or not | + Dash of SQQQ w/ V1a Simple Portfolio Remixed w/ Top Cap by MA (571% AR - BT 2017-05-05)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A rule‑driven, 60/40 defense/offense strategy that rides tech‑led uptrends with 3x funds when trends are healthy, and quickly flips to hedges (cash+short QQQ, volatility funds) or Treasuries/US dollar when markets get overheated, weak, or jumpy.
It splits money into two engines: ~60% “defense” and ~40% “offense.” Each day it checks simple cues: trend, recent drops/spikes, and a speedometer (RSI) of gains vs losses (over ~2–6 weeks; >~70=hot, <~30=cold).
If strong/trending but not overheated, it owns 3x stock funds (TQQQ, SPXL/UPRO, UDOW, TECL, SOXL) or the top mega‑cap stock. After sharp selloffs with “cold” readings, it buys the dip in 3x tech/semis.
If overheated or very jumpy, it hedges with volatility funds (SVXY/VIXM/UVXY) or holds cash + short QQQ (BIL+SQQQ). It also times Treasuries (TLT/TMF) vs the US dollar (UUP) when bonds are stronger/weaker than stocks.
Out-of-sample, this two-engine strategy offers stronger risk-adjusted gains vs S&P: Sharpe ~1.20, Calmar ~2.36, ~62% annualized return vs ~19%. It rides tech rallies with 3x longs and hedges volatility/bonds when risk rises.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 18, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged equity etfs, volatility hedging, trend & mean-reversion, bond/fx timing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 46 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Stocks
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
AMZN
Amazon.Com Inc
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BRK/B
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CVNA
Carvana Co.
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks