V2 QLD For The Long Term | Garen Mod
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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About
Tech‑tilted, rules‑based trading that shifts among leveraged Nasdaq (QLD), hedges (PSQ), broad stocks (SPY), and Treasuries (SHY/TLT/TBT). It uses trend, volatility, and overbought/oversold cues to decide when to press or protect.
1) Big picture: Is the S&P 500 (SPY) above its 200‑day average (an uptrend)? If yes and long‑term Treasuries (TLT) also trend up, it rides the Nasdaq: buys QLD when swings are calm, but briefly hedges with PSQ if QQQ is extremely hot (RSI>81). If swings aren’t calm, it holds SPY+SHY. If TLT isn’t trending up, it trades bonds (TLT, or TBT vs SHY by strength). If SPY is below its 200‑day, it’s cautious: it buys QLD only on extreme washouts (RSI<30); otherwise it picks PSQ or SHY when QQQ is below key averages, and QLD when it’s above. RSI is a 0–100 “heat” score.
Out-of-sample edge: ~24.3% annualized return vs ~21.2% for SPY, positive alpha (~0.05), and Calmar ~1.08. Accepts a higher max drawdown (~22.5% vs ~18.8%), but regime-based leverage and hedging aim for stronger long-run growth.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3 | 0.72 | 0.23 | 0.48 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 631.95% | 11.65% | 1.36% | 13.5% | 0.66 | |
| 55,584.4% | 41.91% | 11.13% | 56.67% | 1.33 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,568,440.38Regulatory Fees
$10,544.63
Total Slippage
$86,068.12
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 6, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 12%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend-following, mean reversion, volatility filter, leveraged etfs, equities, treasuries, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total