v2 Long term FTLT l 6 Oct 2011 l BrianE
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A long-horizon, cash-based tactical tilt that switches between a single-levered tech/bull bet and a hedged/bear set, using RSI and short‑term momentum to pick one top performer on each tilt and hold 100% in that asset until the signal changes.
The strategy starts with a cash baseline. It looks for a clear signal to tilt either Bull or Bear. A Bull tilt is prompted when the broad market signal suggests oversold conditions (RSI on SPY below a threshold). In that case, it considers a pool of bullish, levered assets (notably TECL for tech) and selects the top performer over the last few days (measured by 5‑day cumulative return). That single asset is bought with 100% of the portfolio. If the Bull signal isn’t active, the Bear path is evaluated. The Bear pool includes hedges and inverse/alternative bets (e.g., TMF, TMV, UGL, TECS, UVXY, etc.). Again, the top candidate by momentum over a short window is purchased at 100%. Additional RSI checks on related tickers (XLK, XLU, DBC) refine whether to stay in a single asset or adjust the pool. There is no regular rebalancing; the system only changes position when the signal criteria are met, otherwise cash remains. The approach uses leveraged instruments to emphasize moves but increases risk, so it’s designed for a long horizon and disciplined risk tolerance.
Cash-first, signals-driven tilt bets the top asset in Bull or Bear regimes. Aims to outperform SPY in favorable cycles with levered tech exposure and hedges. OOS: ~20.3% annual return, Sharpe ~0.60; note drawdowns can be large (~64%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.68 | 1.12 | 0.12 | 0.34 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 667.41% | 15.19% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.93 | |
| 2,465,791.26% | 101.71% | 19.32% | 5.52% | 1.54 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$246,589,125.58Regulatory Fees
$887,255.31
Total Slippage
$6,363,836.86
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 11, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Long-term tactical tilt; leveraged etfs; rsi/momentum signals; bull/bear branches; cash baseline; infrequent rebalancing
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TECS
Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks