v2 Long term FTLT l 6 Oct 2011 l BrianE
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A one‑ETF, high‑octane, risk‑on/risk‑off strategy. Extreme dip? Buy leveraged tech. Tech too hot? Hold VIX. Otherwise rotate: tech/energy in bull markets; bonds/gold or inverse hedges in bear regimes, guided by simple trend gauges.
Uses simple gauges (RSI: 0–100 heat meter; EMA: long‑term trendline) on SPY (stocks), XLK (tech), XLU (utilities), DBC (commodities), and TLT (Treasuries). If stocks are very oversold, buy TECL. If tech is extremely hot, buy UVXY. Otherwise: if stocks beat utilities, go bull (TECL or ERX). If utilities beat stocks, go bear: if Treasuries trend up, pick TMF or UGL; if down, pick TMV, BTAL, or TECS. Holds one fund.
Dynamic risk-on/risk-off strategy using leveraged tech and volatility hedges. Seeks tech-led upside in bull phases and protection in bear phases, but with higher drawdowns and slightly lower risk-adjusted returns than the S&P in out-of-sample tests.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.68 | 1.12 | 0.12 | 0.34 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 669.43% | 15.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.93 | |
| 2,443,247.95% | 101.54% | 18.23% | 12% | 1.54 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$244,334,794.64Regulatory Fees
$887,255.31
Total Slippage
$6,363,836.86
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 11, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, momentum, mean reversion, risk-on/risk-off, sector rotation, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TECS
Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks