v2 Long term FTLT l 6 Oct 2011 l BrianE
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Rules-based, single‑ETF switcher using RSI and trend filters. In risk‑on it mostly rides 3x tech (sometimes 2x energy). In risk‑off it flips to bonds, gold, or bearish funds; short‑term signals guide the final pick. Very high risk.
Owns one ETF at a time and switches by rules. Extremes: if the S&P 500’s 14‑day RSI (stretch gauge: low=washed‑out, high=overheated) is very low, buy 3x tech; if tech’s RSI is extremely high, buy volatility. Else, 6‑month regime: if stocks beat utilities (risk‑on), hold 3x tech or, when commodities lead, the week’s winner of 3x tech vs 2x energy. If utilities lead (risk‑off), hold bonds/gold if bonds trend up; otherwise a bearish/defensive fund.
Regime-switching, rules-based strategy that leverages tech/energy in risk-on and hedges with bonds/gold in risk-off. Out-of-sample: ~20.3% annualized return, Sharpe ~0.60, Calmar ~0.32. Diversifies and offers upside beyond the S&P, with bigger drawdowns in extremes.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.67 | 1.12 | 0.12 | 0.34 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 681.5% | 15.36% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.94 | |
| 2,282,182.58% | 100.9% | 16.11% | -10.62% | 1.54 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$228,228,257.98Regulatory Fees
$853,680.99
Total Slippage
$6,122,621.19
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 11, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Rules-based tactical allocation, regime switching, leveraged etfs, momentum & mean-reversion, single-position, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TECS
Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks