V2 | Emerging Markets | Otterly Foolish | Dereck Nielsen Mod
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A high-risk trading strategy that moves in and out of emerging markets daily, chasing strong countries in good times and shifting to bearish bets or bonds when conditions weaken.
This strategy tries to decide whether emerging-market stocks are in a healthy uptrend or a weak/downward phase.
If the trend looks strong, it mostly buys emerging markets: a broad fund, a stronger high-octane version, and 4 countries with the best recent performance.
If the market looks too overheated, it briefly bets on a drop. If the trend looks weak, it either looks for a bounce, bets against emerging markets, or hides in bonds.
EM momentum with risk-aware regime switching. Out-of-sample return ~24.7% vs S&P 500's ~21.4%; Calmar ~0.84 signals solid risk-adjusted drawdown control, despite higher max drawdown. Diversified EM exposure with hedges offers stronger upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.51 | 0.23 | 0.01 | 0.1 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 260.89% | 14.91% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.84 | |
| 6,854.7% | 58.31% | -10.29% | -2.98% | 1.31 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$695,469.59Regulatory Fees
$1,293.47
Total Slippage
$10,060.84
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 30, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Emerging markets, tactical asset allocation, momentum, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, country rotation, risk-off bonds
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 25 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
ECH
iShares MSCI Chile ETF
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EIDO
iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF
Stocks
EMXC
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China ETF
Stocks
EPHE
iShares MSCI Philippines ETF
Stocks
EPOL
iShares MSCI Poland ETF
Stocks
EPU
iShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF
Stocks