V2 | Emerging Markets | Otterly Foolish | Dereck Nielsen Mod
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Tactical emerging‑markets strategy using trend (moving averages) and “hot/washed‑out” signals (RSI) to rotate among EM stocks (broad, strongest countries, ex‑China), a small leveraged sleeve, inverse EM, and bonds. Uses 3x funds; high risk; rebalanced daily.
Daily it checks trend in emerging markets (EEM): 8‑day avg above 200‑day = uptrend. In uptrends: if EM are “too hot” (EDC’s RSI>80) it switches to the bear fund (EDZ); else it holds the 4 strongest EM country ETFs plus slices of leveraged EM (EDC) and EM ex‑China (EMXC). In downtrends: if “washed out” (EDC’s RSI<26) it buys EDC; else it holds BSV, VWOB, or EDZ based on EDC vs its 90‑day avg. RSI (0–100) = speed of recent moves; moving averages smooth price.
Out-of-sample, this EM-rotation strategy aims for ~31% annualized returns vs SPY's ~23%, via trend, momentum, and selective leverage/inverse positions across EMs and EM bonds. Higher upside and diversification, but with larger drawdowns/volatility.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.54 | 0.16 | 0.01 | 0.07 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 229.82% | 14.66% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.82 | |
| 6,705.34% | 62.23% | 12.64% | 14.65% | 1.37 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$680,533.54Regulatory Fees
$1,500.16
Total Slippage
$9,450.39
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 30, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Emerging markets, tactical allocation, trend-following, momentum, mean reversion, leveraged/inverse etfs, bonds, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 25 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
ECH
iShares MSCI Chile ETF
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EIDO
iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF
Stocks
EMXC
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China ETF
Stocks
EPHE
iShares MSCI Philippines ETF
Stocks
EPOL
iShares MSCI Poland ETF
Stocks
EPU
iShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF
Stocks