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V2 | Emerging Markets | Otterly Foolish | Dereck Nielsen Mod
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About

A tactical emerging‑markets strategy that shifts between leveraged long, inverse, rotating the strongest EM countries, and bonds. It uses trend, overbought/oversold readings, and short‑term momentum to decide when to attack, hedge, or play defense.
NutHow it works
Daily, it checks trend: is EM (EEM) in an uptrend? (a fast 8‑day average above a slow 200‑day). If yes and EM is “too hot” (EDC’s RSI—a 0–100 heat gauge—>80), it briefly flips short (EDZ). Otherwise it goes pro‑EM: 35% in the 4 strongest EM country funds (by 60‑day strength), 32% in EDC (3x long EM), 33% in EMXC (EM ex‑China). If not in an uptrend: if very washed‑out (RSI<26) buy EDC for a bounce; else if still weak pick EDZ or BSV (short‑term bonds) by short‑term strength; otherwise hold VWOB (EM gov bonds). Uses 3x ETFs; volatile.
CheckmarkValue prop
Regime-driven EM strategy blending leveraged bets with diversification sleeves to capture EM upside while controlling risk. OOS: 17.3% annualized return, max drawdown 29.5%, Calmar 0.59. Diversification and potential EM alpha complement the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
Alpha
Beta
R2
R
0.54
0.11
0
0.05
Performance Metrics
Cumulative Return
Annualized Return
Trailing 1M Return
Trailing 3M Return
Sharpe Ratio
207.43%
14.46%
0.19%
3.76%
0.8
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$501,510.22
Regulatory Fees
$1,318.08
Total Slippage
$8,321.24
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 30, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Emerging markets, tactical asset allocation, trend following, mean reversion, country rotation, leveraged etfs, bonds, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 0 assets in total
Ticker
Type