V2 | Emerging Markets | Otterly Foolish | Dereck Nielsen Mod
Today’s Change (Mar 11, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules‑based emerging‑markets strategy. In uptrends it owns EM stocks (incl. ex‑China and the strongest country funds) plus some 3× bull. If overheated, it briefly flips to a 3× bear. In downtrends it either buys an oversold bounce or hides in bonds/hedges.
Rebalances daily. First, it asks if EEM (a broad emerging‑markets stock fund) is in a long‑term uptrend (8‑day EMA > 200‑day average). If yes, it holds: 32% EDC (3× bullish EM), 33% EMXC (EM stocks excluding China), and 35% split across the 4 strongest EM country ETFs (by 60‑day momentum). If EDC looks “too hot” (RSI>80), it temporarily flips to 100% EDZ (3× bearish). If there’s no uptrend: if EDC is very oversold (RSI<26), it buys EDC; otherwise it stays defensive in EDZ or short‑term bonds (BSV), or EM gov’t bonds (VWOB). RSI is a 0–100 “heat” gauge; moving averages are trend lines.
Out-of-sample EM strategy: 31.4% annualized return vs SPY's 23.3%, with positive alpha. Uses trend and momentum to ride EM leaders with hedges; aims for higher upside. Note: drawdowns may be larger (~29.5%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.54 | 0.13 | 0 | 0.06 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213.65% | 14.19% | -2.16% | -1.22% | 0.8 | |
| 5,983.74% | 61.1% | -6.38% | 18.33% | 1.36 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$608,374.17Regulatory Fees
$1,460.42
Total Slippage
$9,201.59
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 30, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Emerging markets, tactical rotation, momentum, trend following, leveraged etfs, bonds, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 25 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
ECH
iShares MSCI Chile ETF
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EDZ
Direxion Daily MSCI Emerging Markets Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EIDO
iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF
Stocks
EMXC
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ex China ETF
Stocks
EPHE
iShares MSCI Philippines ETF
Stocks
EPOL
iShares MSCI Poland ETF
Stocks
EPU
iShares MSCI Peru and Global Exposure ETF
Stocks