V2 Dereck Nielsen All Weather Portfolio
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
An all‑weather, trend‑following portfolio across stocks, bonds, gold, commodities, USD, and staples. Owns assets only in healthy uptrends, parks in cash when weak, and in bear markets may hedge/short the Nasdaq; occasionally uses 2x ETFs. Rebalanced daily.
Daily, rules-based mix of ETFs. Target: 40% stocks (SPY/QQQ; in downtrends may hedge/short via PSQ/QID, or tilt to XLK/semis), and 10% each to commodities (DBC), gold (GLD), US bonds (IEF/TLT/SHY), US dollar (UUP), and staples (XLP). It buys only when recent averages beat longer ones (uptrend), uses a 0–100 “heat” score (RSI) to avoid buying when too hot, and parks in SHV (cash-like) when trends weaken. Sometimes uses 2x ETFs (QLD, USD) in sharp rebounds.
Out-of-sample Sharpe ~2.00 vs SPY 1.32; drawdown ~8.7% vs ~18.8%; beta ~0.36; Calmar ~1.90; ~16.5% oos return. Strong risk-adjusted growth and downside protection versus the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.11 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.49 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 570.79% | 14.38% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 645.33% | 15.24% | 1.64% | 5.52% | 1.96 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$74,533.44Regulatory Fees
$218.77
Total Slippage
$1,033.39
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 10, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, trend-following, momentum, tactical, risk-managed, hedged, inverse/leveraged etfs, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks