V2 Dereck Nielsen All Weather Portfolio
Today’s Change (Feb 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily-rebalanced, all-weather ETF portfolio that uses trend and RSI rules to own commodities, gold, Treasuries, the dollar, staples, and a momentum-driven stock sleeve—moving to cash or hedges when conditions weaken.
It splits money across sleeves: commodities (DBC), gold (GLD), Treasuries (IEF/TLT/SHY), U.S. stocks (SPY/QQQ), dollar (UUP), and consumer staples (XLP). Trend = short vs long moving averages; RSI = 0–100 of recent price speed.
Each sleeve owns its ETF when trend is up; otherwise it parks in SHV (cash-like). The stock sleeve is more active: when SPY is healthy it holds SPY/QQQ (or SMH); when weak it keeps mostly SHV and may hedge (PSQ/QID = short QQQ) or use quick longs (QLD = 2x QQQ). Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample, this all-weather strategy beats the S&P on risk-adjusted performance: Sharpe ~2.0 vs 1.32, max drawdown ~8.7% vs ~18.8%, Calmar ~1.90, with lower volatility and durable upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.11 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.49 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 589.43% | 14.68% | 1.75% | 5.97% | 0.91 | |
| 642.76% | 15.29% | 2.66% | 6.8% | 1.96 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$74,276.39Regulatory Fees
$217.74
Total Slippage
$1,027.99
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 10, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
All-weather, tactical asset allocation, trend-following, momentum, crash protection, diversified etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks