V2 BWC: Medium Time Frame Switches
Today’s Change (Jan 20, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules‑based “risk switch” that rotates between 3× stock ETFs in uptrends and hedges (volatility, anti‑beta, inverse, bonds/cash) in downtrends. It uses RSI, moving averages, drawdown triggers, and bond‑vs‑stock strength to decide when to press or protect.
It watches five market lenses (Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq‑100, Tech, Semis). RSI is a 0–100 “speedometer” of recent up vs down days; >50 = uptrend, >80 hot, <30 washed‑out.
Uptrend: own the index or its 3× version if short‑term momentum is healthy; if too hot, briefly hedge (VIXY).
Downtrend: only buy dips if very oversold; otherwise shift to defenses (BTAL, inverse ETFs, bonds/cash).
Bond‑vs‑stock and 200‑day trend checks fine‑tune risk. It picks the best‑behaving lenses and rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample results show potential for materially higher upside with controlled risk: ~49.6% annualized vs S&P ~10–12%, Calmar ~2.09, Sharpe ~1.22. Dynamic regime-switching with hedges aims to outperform in uptrends while mitigating drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | 0.83 | 0.17 | 0.41 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 335.47% | 15.23% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.88 | |
| 662,043.44% | 133.39% | 1.74% | 8.58% | 2.49 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$66,214,344.14Regulatory Fees
$146,172.71
Total Slippage
$1,012,042.20
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 24, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, momentum & trend, rsi-based regime switching, leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, inverse/short etfs, bonds vs stocks, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 29 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DIA
SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
DRIP
Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. Bear 2X Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks