V2 Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B | No K-1
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
An aggressive market-timing strategy: in good markets it holds leveraged US stocks plus long Treasuries; in rough markets it mostly sits in T-bills and only buys sharp index selloffs.
How it worksThis strategy first asks: is the market in a rough year or a healthy one?
If the past year has been shaky, it mostly hides in very short-term Treasury bills (BIL), which acts like a cash parking spot. It only buys after a sharp 5-day drop in the Nasdaq-100 or S&P 500, using aggressive 3x funds (TQQQ or UPRO). If those funds already jumped more than 5% in a day, it waits in BIL instead of chasing the rebound.
If the market has been healthier, it uses a more aggressive mix: mostly 3x US stock funds (UPRO and TQQQ) plus a 3x long-term Treasury bond fund (TMF). If the market starts dropping too hard in the short term, it exits to BIL.
Value propDynamic, regime-switching strategy that leverages in healthy markets and seeks cash in stress to chase dips and protect capital. Out-of-sample: 15.8% annualized return, 35.5% max drawdown, Sharpe 0.58. Diversifies SPY exposure.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.19 | 0.88 | 0.27 | 0.52 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 799.26% | 14.17% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.86 | |
| 10,926.29% | 32.8% | -4.31% | -1.72% | 1.12 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,102,628.98Regulatory Fees
$1,389.76
Total Slippage
$8,525.40
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 2, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged etfs, regime switching, buy the dip, risk management, us equities, treasuries
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total