V1e Fund Surfing + V2 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B | No K-1
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A 50/50 blend: (1) calm markets—buy the most beaten‑down of leveraged tech/Nasdaq or Treasuries; rough markets—sit in short Treasuries. (2) Big drawdowns—buy sharp 5‑day dips; otherwise run a 55/45 leveraged stocks/long‑bond mix with a safety switch.
Split 50/50 across two sleeves.
V1e: If S&P 500 volatility is low, buy the most “oversold” pick (by a hot/cold gauge called RSI) from TECL (3x Tech), TQQQ (3x Nasdaq 100), or IEF/SHY (Treasuries). If volatility is high, hold SHY.
V2: If the market is >10% off a peak, buy 5‑day dips in QQQ/SPY via TQQQ/UPRO unless they just spiked; else BIL. If not in drawdown, run 55/45: UPRO/TQQQ (stocks, sized by stability) and TMF (3x long Treasuries); else BIL.
Out-of-sample edge: ~36.6% annualized return vs SPY 22.2%, Calmar ~0.97. Dynamic growth tilt with Treasuries hedges aims for higher upside while controlling risk; note larger drawdowns in downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.22 | 1 | 0.46 | 0.68 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 690.78% | 13.85% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.84 | |
| 19,868.44% | 39.4% | 5.39% | 3.94% | 1.44 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,996,844.40Regulatory Fees
$4,383.44
Total Slippage
$26,094.59
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 2, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, volatility targeting, dip buying, regime switching, us large-cap growth, treasuries, tactical allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks