V1e Fund Surfing + V2 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B | No K-1
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Blends two engines: a low‑vol “surf” that buys the most beaten‑down fund, and a regime system that buys 3x stock ETFs on big dips or runs a 3x stocks/3x long‑bond mix. Parks in T‑bills when risk is high. Very aggressive; expect big swings.
Two-part tactical plan.
1) When markets are calm, it “surfs” by buying whichever has fallen most lately: 3x tech stocks, 3x Nasdaq, or 7–10yr Treasuries. If markets are choppy, it holds short‑term Treasuries.
2) Regime switch: If the S&P 500 has had a big drop in the past year, it buys 3x Nasdaq or 3x S&P 500 after a sharp weekly slide (skipping days after a big rebound); otherwise it holds T‑bills. If no big drop, it runs a growth mix of 3x stocks (tilted to the steadier one) plus 3x long Treasuries, or T‑bills when risk rises.
Out-of-sample returns ~36.6% vs ~22% for the S&P, with solid risk-adjusted profile (Calmar ~0.97, Sharpe ~1.11). Bigger swings but higher long-run upside and innovative bear/bull hedging can outperform SPY over cycles.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.22 | 1 | 0.46 | 0.68 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 674.23% | 13.66% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.83 | |
| 19,965.85% | 39.34% | 0.7% | 8.91% | 1.44 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,006,584.87Regulatory Fees
$4,428.11
Total Slippage
$26,397.79
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 2, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, buy-the-dip, risk-on/risk-off, momentum & mean reversion, tech-heavy, stocks+bonds barbell
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks