V1e Fund Surfing + V2 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B | No K-1
Today’s Change (Apr 3, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Blends two engines: a low‑vol “surf” that buys the most beaten‑down fund, and a regime system that buys 3x stock ETFs on big dips or runs a 3x stocks/3x long‑bond mix. Parks in T‑bills when risk is high. Very aggressive; expect big swings.
Two-part tactical plan.
1) When markets are calm, it “surfs” by buying whichever has fallen most lately: 3x tech stocks, 3x Nasdaq, or 7–10yr Treasuries. If markets are choppy, it holds short‑term Treasuries.
2) Regime switch: If the S&P 500 has had a big drop in the past year, it buys 3x Nasdaq or 3x S&P 500 after a sharp weekly slide (skipping days after a big rebound); otherwise it holds T‑bills. If no big drop, it runs a growth mix of 3x stocks (tilted to the steadier one) plus 3x long Treasuries, or T‑bills when risk rises.
Out-of-sample growth engine: ~36.6% annualized return vs ~22.2% for the S&P 500, with regime shifts and 3x leverage on dips plus Treasuries for risk control. Higher upside, but expect larger swings and drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.22 | 1.01 | 0.47 | 0.68 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 658.97% | 13.48% | -4.19% | -3.74% | 0.82 | |
| 19,705.47% | 39.09% | -0.58% | 2.75% | 1.43 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,980,546.62Regulatory Fees
$4,533.85
Total Slippage
$27,075.37
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 2, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, buy-the-dip, risk-on/risk-off, momentum & mean reversion, tech-heavy, stocks+bonds barbell
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks