V1e Fund Surfing + V2 | Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR | Michael B | No K-1
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A two-part, rule-based strategy that aims to ride favorable momentum with a single leveraged exposure while opportunistically buying dips in major indices using leveraged ETFs and hedging with Treasuries, all without frequent rebalancing and with a tax-structure note (No K-1).
Two main threads drive the strategy. Thread A (V1e Fund Surfing) looks for a single asset to ride when market conditions look favorable. It screens three candidates (TECL, TQQQ, IEF) and uses a momentum and risk check to pick one, or shifts to SHY (cash-like Treasuries) if conditions aren’t supportive. Thread B (V2 Bear BUYDIPS, Bull HFEAR) tries to buy dips in Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 using leveraged ETFs (UPRO, TQQQ) when a dip is detected and signals are aligned. If not, it tilts toward safety (BIL or similar funds). The system alternates between Risk ON (favoring growth-oriented, highly leveraged bets with occasional treasury hedges) and Risk OFF (favoring cash-like short-term bonds) based on recent performance and volatility signals. Rebalancing happens only when the built-in signals fire; there is no fixed calendar rebalancing. The setup is designed to avoid K-1 forms in the underlying vehicle, per the naming, while exposing the fund to a mix of tech/leverage and bond exposure to balance risk and potential returns.
Out-of-sample edge: ~36.6% annualized return vs S&P ~22.2%; Sharpe ~1.11; Calmar ~0.97. A two-thread strategy uses leverage with hedges and dip-buying, no calendar rebalancing, No-K-1. Higher upside, but larger drawdowns (~38%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.22 | 1 | 0.46 | 0.68 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 674.23% | 13.66% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.83 | |
| 19,965.85% | 39.34% | 0.7% | 8.91% | 1.44 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,006,584.87Regulatory Fees
$4,428.11
Total Slippage
$26,397.79
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 2, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, momentum/dip-buying, risk hedging, tax-structure: no k-1
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks