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Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Two-sleeve tactical plan using TECL/TQQQ (3x tech/Nasdaq) and US Treasuries (SHY, IEF, TLT). In calm markets it buys the most beaten‑down pick; as volatility rises it shifts to SHY and, in storms, TLT.
Your money is split into two equal sleeves. Each asks: how calm is the stock market (using SPY’s 1‑month volatility)?
- If very calm, the sleeve buys 1 ETF that fell the most over ~1 month (a “recent‑moves” score called RSI: lower = more recently down). Choices: TECL/TQQQ plus a Treasury (IEF or SHY).
- If not calm, it parks in Treasuries (SHY); in very rough markets, long Treasuries (TLT).
Trades only when signals change (5% band).
Out-of-sample edge: ~64.5% annualized vs SPY ~22%; Sharpe ~1.43; Calmar ~1.45. Two-sleeve regime-switching: beat-down tech in calm, Treasuries in volatility—higher upside with disciplined risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.26 | 1.11 | 0.35 | 0.59 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 690.78% | 13.85% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.84 | |
| 34,193.43% | 44.21% | 3.87% | -0.21% | 1.29 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,429,342.63Regulatory Fees
$9,273.54
Total Slippage
$57,615.91
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 2, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Mean reversion, volatility regime switching, tactical asset allocation, leveraged tech etfs, us treasuries
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total