V1b TQQQ or not | + Dash of SQQQ - Deez - Replace UVXY w/ SOXS
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rules-based switcher around high-growth tech. It rides uptrends with TQQQ, uses semiconductors (SOXL/SOXS) to play or fade sharp swings, and falls back to a BTAL/SQQQ hedge when risk spikes—guided by recent drops, trend, and bond‑market stress.
What it trades: TQQQ (3x up NASDAQ‑100), SQQQ (3x down NASDAQ‑100), SOXL/SOXS (3x up/down semiconductors), BTAL (defensive long‑low‑risk/short‑high‑risk), plus bond ETFs as signals.
Rules (daily):
- If tech looks extremely “hot,” it briefly shorts semis (SOXS) to fade a pull‑back risk.
- If tech just crashed (~>13% in 6 days): after a big 1‑day bounce it uses SOXS; otherwise it buys SOXL for a snap‑back—unless bond stress is high, then it holds 60% BTAL/40% SQQQ.
- In normal times: if recent drops or bond stress are high, it holds BTAL/SQQQ. If QQQ is above its 25‑day average, it buys TQQQ. If not, it checks slower stock‑vs‑bond momentum to choose between TQQQ and BTAL/SQQQ.
Note: uses 3x funds—big swings possible.
Out-of-sample annualized return about 25% vs the S&P 500’s about 23%, driven by a rules-based tech/semiconductor strategy with dynamic hedges (BTAL/SQQQ). Higher upside potential with risk controls, though downturns can be larger.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.88 | 0.42 | 0.02 | 0.13 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 653.72% | 15.01% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.91 | |
| 10,224,007.59% | 122.29% | 17.72% | 1.17% | 1.73 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,022,410,758.92Regulatory Fees
$2,703,178.04
Total Slippage
$19,411,599.41
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 23, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, trend-following, mean reversion, tech/semiconductors, risk hedging, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks