V1b Fund Surfing
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A market-timing strategy that swings between very aggressive tech funds and safer Treasury bonds, using recent market turbulence as a risk switch and buying the recent laggard in calmer periods.
This strategy first checks how jumpy the U.S. stock market has been lately using SPY, a fund that tracks the S&P 500.
If markets are calm, it buys just 1 fund: whichever has been weakest lately out of TECL, TQQQ, and TLT. TECL and TQQQ are very aggressive tech-heavy funds; TLT is long-term U.S. government bonds.
If markets are somewhat shaky, it puts half in that “weakest” fund and half in SHY, a safer short-term Treasury fund.
If markets are very shaky, it moves to defense: half SHY and half TLT.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~37.9% vs SPY ~20.5%, with volatility-driven rotations between leveraged tech and Treasuries. Potentially big upside and disciplined risk metrics (Sharpe ~1.02, Calmar ~0.88), but expect larger drawdowns (~43%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2 | 0.96 | 0.25 | 0.5 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 791.95% | 14.07% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.86 | |
| 10,977.75% | 32.75% | -12.6% | -11.43% | 1.04 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,107,775.32Regulatory Fees
$3,065.89
Total Slippage
$23,037.70
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 2, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, volatility filter, mean reversion, leveraged equity, treasury bonds, defensive rotation