A highly tactical, levered ETF strategy that shifts between 3x long tech/semis (TQQQ, SOXL) and 3x hedges (SQQQ, SOXS) with a cash/bond ballast, guided by RSI/momentum signals and risk checks. Complex, high-risk, not for beginners.

- The strategy looks at a mix of ETFs: TQQQ (3x tech/QQQ), SOXL (3x semiconductors), SQQQ (inverted QQQ), SOXS (inverted semiconductors), SPY (broad market), and cash/bond proxies like BIL and IEF. It uses several momentum signals, chiefly RSIs over different window lengths (e.g., 6, 10, 15, 25, 45, 60 days) and some moving-average/volatility checks, to decide whether to be heavily long, hedged, or in cash. - When market signals are favorable (e.g., momentum favors the long tech/semis side and risk signals aren’t extreme), the plan allocates most of its weight to a leveraged long bet (TQQQ or SOXL) with a smaller hedge/cash sleeve (SQQQ and/or SOXS) to damp risk. The exact weights shown (frequently around 85% long, 15% hedge/cash) reflect a bias toward aggressive upside while keeping a defensive counterweight. - If signals flip toward risk-off (for example, weaker momentum in SPY/QQQ relative to bonds, or overbought readings in the long side compared with bonds), the system increases hedges (SQQQ, SOXS) or shifts toward cash/bonds (BIL/IEF) to reduce risk. - A special rule focuses on “extremely oversold” conditions in the S&P 500 (low RSI) as a potential signal to re-enter the long side, but this is contingent on bond-market confirmation to avoid a false rebound. - The framework integrates a “replacement” of UVXY with SOXS for leverage/volatility exposure and notes that some parts of the model revolve around Bollinger-band-like ideas (15/15) and mean-reversion tendencies (MeanRev, standard deviation/drawdown checks) to time entries. - The entire system is designed to be K-1 friendly (tax forms) and to avoid frequent rebalancing, instead choosing a single, signal-determined allocation path. Important caveats: it uses 3x leveraged ETFs, which can magnify both gains and losses; it is complex to implement and monitor; it is not suited for buy-and-hold investors; and it relies on short-to-intermediate momentum measures that can lag or whipsaw in volatile markets.

Tech-leveraged strategy with smart hedges offers higher upside vs the S&P 500. OOS: ~29.6% annualized vs SPY ~20.8%, with risk controls. Expect larger drawdowns in down markets, but amplified gains in rallies.