V1a TQQQ+BTAL Wunderkin 3 [CMP] (K-1 Free)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A one-ETF-at-a-time, regime-driven levered strategy: use bond trend to choose tech or energy bets, then pick the laggard in that group to buy (mean-reversion), with a 5% rebalancing guard and a K-1–free ETF mix.
TL;DR: The model uses a top-level bond trend filter to pick a market regime. If bonds look healthy (TLT above its 150-day average), it checks QQQ momentum. If QQQ’s short-term trend is positive, it buys the weakest of 3 tech leverage bets (TQQQ/TECL/SOXL) based on recent 20-day momentum. If QQQ momentum isn’t positive, it buys the weakest among anti-beta/treasury tilt bets (BTAL/TMF/TYD) based on 14-day momentum. If bonds don’t look healthy (TLT below its 150-day average), it instead buys the weakest energy lineup (XLE/XOP) based on 14-day volatility. Each decision results in a 100% allocation to a single ETF, with no automatic rebalancing unless the corridor triggers, and the goal is to capture regime-driven mean reversions while staying K-1 free.
Out-of-sample return ~39%/yr vs S&P ~21%/yr; Calmar ~1.38; Sharpe ~0.98. Regime-driven, 100% single-ETF picker: levered tech in bull regimes, energy/bonds in risk-off, with 5% corridor guard and K-1-free ETF mix.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.39 | 0.95 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 686.3% | 15.37% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.94 | |
| 65,991.08% | 56.88% | -4.89% | -11.48% | 1.29 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$6,609,107.55Regulatory Fees
$26,118.04
Total Slippage
$173,684.37
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 25, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, regime-switching, momentum-contrarian, single-asset-at-a-time
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
TYD
Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
XLE
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XOP
State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
Stocks