V1a TQQQ+BTAL Wunderkin 3 [CMP] (K-1 Free)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Single-ETF, rules-based switcher. Uses bond trend to choose a regime: if bonds are strong, tilt to tech or defenses; if bonds are weak, hold calmer energy. Within each sleeve it buys the recent laggard or the lower-volatility choice.
1) Check if TLT (long‑term Treasuries) is above its 150‑day average price. If yes, check QQQ: if its 5‑day avg > 21‑day avg, buy the most recently dipped 3x tech/semis fund (TQQQ/TECL/SOXL). If not, buy the most recently dipped defensive pick: BTAL (anti‑beta market‑neutral) or TMF/TYD (3x Treasuries).
2) If TLT is below its 150‑day avg, hold the calmer energy fund (lower 2‑week volatility) between XLE (big oil) and XOP (explorers).
Regime-aware, single-ETF strategy aiming for outsized upside. Out-of-sample: ~39% annualized return vs ~21% for S&P; Calmar ~1.38; Sharpe ~0.98. Note higher drawdowns (~28%) vs ~19% but stronger risk-adjusted upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.39 | 0.95 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 703.11% | 15.58% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.95 | |
| 70,197.94% | 57.73% | 1.37% | -14.95% | 1.31 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$7,029,794.08Regulatory Fees
$25,530.13
Total Slippage
$169,634.53
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 25, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, regime switching, trend + mean reversion, leveraged etfs, sector rotation, bond signal, energy tilt, market-neutral
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
TYD
Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 7-10 Year Treasury Bond Index symbol AXSVTN)
Stocks
XLE
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XOP
State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
Stocks