V1a TQQQ+BTAL Wunderkin 3 [CMP] (K-1 Free)
Today’s Change (Aug 23, 2026)
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About
A one-position, risk-on/risk-off switcher: if Treasuries trend up, ride a single 3× tech fund when tech is rising; otherwise use Treasuries/anti‑beta for defense. If Treasuries trend down, rotate into energy. Seeks upside with fast safety pivots.
It holds exactly one fund at a time and switches based on simple trends.
1) Regime: If long‑term Treasuries (TLT) are above their 150‑day average, bonds are ‘healthy’; otherwise they’re ‘weak’.
2) If bonds are healthy and big‑tech (QQQ) is rising (5‑day avg > 21‑day), buy one high‑octane tech fund: TQQQ/TECL/SOXL (3× tech/semis), chosen by recent 1‑month behavior. If not rising, hold defense: BTAL (anti‑beta) or TMF/TYD (3× Treasuries).
3) If bonds are weak, own energy: XLE or XOP, picking the calmer one lately.
Regime-switching, single-asset strategy delivering ~30.8% out-of-sample annualized return vs SPY ~21%, Calmar ~0.92, and max drawdown ~33.6% (SPY ~18.8%): higher upside with disciplined risk control and a tech/energy tilt.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 25, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, trend-following, regime switching, leveraged etfs, tech momentum, defensive rotation, energy tilt, bond trend filter
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
TYD
Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
XLE
State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks
XOP
State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
Stocks