V1a TQQQ or not - Replace UVXY w/ VXX
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Daily, rules-based swing between: TQQQ to ride Nasdaq uptrends, SOXL to play sharp selloff rebounds, VXX/UVXY when markets look overheated/jumpy, and BIL (cash-like) when risk is high. Uses simple “hot/cold” gauges (RSI), trend and bond-vol filters.
Legend: TQQQ=3x Nasdaq100; QQQ=Nasdaq100; SOXL=3x semis; VXX/UVXY=volatility; BIL=T‑Bills; RSI=0–100 “hot/cold.”
Daily: 1) If TQQQ very hot (RSI>79) → VXX. 2) If TQQQ crashed (~<=‑12%/6d): • If big 1‑day bounce (>5.5%) → UVXY; • Else if cold (RSI<32) or long bonds calm → SOXL; else BIL. 3) Else: • If QQQ fell hard or long bonds jumpy → BIL; • Else if QQQ > 25‑day avg → TQQQ; • Else use stock/bond strength; if favorable → TQQQ, else BIL. High risk (leveraged/vol).
Out-of-sample, this tactical, levered strategy targets Nasdaq upside and rebound plays, delivering ~51% annualized returns vs ~23.6% for the S&P. Drawdowns are larger (~44%), but Calmar ~1.16 signals compelling risk-adjusted upside.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 4, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged nasdaq, trend-following, mean-reversion, volatility-hedge, crash-protection, tactical, daily-rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 11 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks