V1a TQQQ or not
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
An aggressive market-timing strategy that usually buys leveraged Nasdaq exposure, but shifts to cash, volatility, or semiconductor rebound trades when tech looks overheated or unstable.
This strategy is a daily traffic-light system for aggressive tech investing.
Its main investment is TQQQ, a fund that aims to deliver about 3x the daily move of the Nasdaq-100, so it rises and falls much faster than normal tech funds.
It first asks: is tech too hot, falling hard, or acting normally?
- If tech looks overheated, it buys UVXY, a volatility fund that usually benefits when markets get panicky.
- If tech has dropped sharply, it may buy SOXL, a very aggressive semiconductor fund, to catch a rebound.
- If conditions look unsafe, it moves to BIL, a very short-term Treasury bill fund that acts like cash.
- If conditions are healthy, it buys TQQQ.
It also watches broad stocks and bonds for warning signs. If those signals look shaky, it avoids risk and sits in BIL.
Out-of-sample edge: ~55.5% annualized return vs ~20.6% for the S&P, driven by nimble tech timing and volatility hedges. Higher upside in tech rallies, but larger drawdowns (max ~44%), so suitable for investors with higher risk tolerance.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.92 | 1.19 | 0.13 | 0.35 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 786.38% | 15.6% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.95 | |
| 202,494,778.36% | 162.35% | -11.5% | -9.73% | 1.99 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$20,249,487,835.90Regulatory Fees
$44,196,943.16
Total Slippage
$426,581,550.46
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 30, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged equity, nasdaq/technology, risk management, volatility timing, mean reversion, trend following
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks