V1a Super Simple Symphony - Less Derivatives -
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily-regime strategy that switches between a defensive mix (VPU, GLD, XLE) and leveraged market bets (UPRO, TQQQ) based on a 60-day comparison of a cash proxy (BIL) versus SPY, with daily rebalancing and an implied cash-equal weighting.
How it works in plain language:
1) Every trading day, the strategy looks back over the last 60 trading days and checks two things: how a safe, cash-like investment (BIL) performed and how the overall stock market (as represented by SPY) performed.
2) If BIL did as well or better than SPY in those 60 days, the portfolio selects a defensive trio of assets: VPU (utilities sector), GLD (gold), and XLE (energy sector). These are typically less volatile than the overall market and can help dampen losses or act as inflation hedges.
3) If SPY outperformed BIL over those 60 days, the portfolio switches to a more aggressive pair of bets using leverage: UPRO (a 3x-long bet on the S&P 500) and TQQQ (a 3x-long bet on the NASDAQ-100). These aim for larger upside moves but carry much higher risk and susceptibility to rapid drawdowns.
4) The term “wt-cash-equal” suggests a weighting approach that keeps some cash on hand and aims for relatively equal emphasis between the cash component and the chosen basket, with weights refreshed daily.
5) All components are rebalanced daily, so the exact mix can flip as the 60-day lookback signals change.
6) The GLD asset is a straightforward holding with no additional sub-strategies.|
Dynamic, rule-based regime-switching strategy that defends in downturns with VPU/GLD/XLE and seeks big upside with UPRO/TQQQ. Out-of-sample: ~39% annualized return vs ~21% SPY; Calmar ~1.20; higher drawdown risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.11 | 1.68 | 0.58 | 0.76 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 726.91% | 14.06% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.85 | |
| 8,795.78% | 32.23% | -0.54% | -0.41% | 0.93 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$889,577.51Regulatory Fees
$1,404.17
Total Slippage
$7,380.00
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 11, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Defensive, leveraged, regime-switching, multi-asset, daily-rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type