V1a Super Simple Symphony - Less Derivatives -
Today’s Change (Aug 23, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Simple daily switch. If short‑term T‑bills (BIL) recently beat the S&P 500 (SPY), rotate into defensive ETFs (utilities, gold, energy). Otherwise go risk‑on with 3x stock ETFs (UPRO, TQQQ). Equal‑weight holdings and rebalance daily.
Each day it checks the last 60 days: did cash-like T‑bills (BIL) beat the S&P 500 (SPY)?
- If yes (weak market): hold defensives—VPU (utilities stocks), GLD (gold), XLE (energy stocks), split equally.
- If no (strong market): hold growth via leveraged ETFs—UPRO (3x S&P 500) and TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100/big tech), split equally.
Rebalances daily.
Out-of-sample annualized return 35.6% vs 20.8% for the S&P, driven by disciplined risk-on/risk-off rotation. In up markets, 3x growth ETFs lead; in down markets, defensives diversify. Higher upside with greater drawdown risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1 | 1.7 | 0.58 | 0.76 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 848.97% | 14.62% | 2.33% | 3.36% | 0.89 | |
| 10,900.92% | 32.97% | 2.76% | -0.3% | 0.94 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,100,091.80Regulatory Fees
$1,225.55
Total Slippage
$7,660.08
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 11, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, risk-on/risk-off, trend-following, sector rotation, leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type