V1a Simple RSIs
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
RSI‑driven, risk‑on/off strategy: flee to the U.S. dollar when volatility spikes, sometimes tilt to 3x long Treasuries, and otherwise rotate into the two most “oversold” picks among 3x equity bulls and bond ETFs. Very high risk.
RSI is a 0–100 “heat” gauge of recent price moves (>70=hot, <30=cold).
1) If VIXM (volatility ETF) is hot, hold USDU (long U.S. dollar).
Else:
2) If SPY (S&P 500) is stronger than XLU (utilities) over ~6 months, buy the 2 “coldest” (lowest 21‑day RSI) from: SPXL/UPRO (3x S&P 500), SOXL (3x chips), TECL (3x tech), or AGG/BSV/SHY (bond ETFs).
Otherwise:
3) If TLT (long Treasuries) is colder than AGG, hold TMF (3x long Treasuries); else do step 2. Uses 3x funds—big swings.
Out-of-sample return: 22.43% vs SPY’s 22.22%. RSI-driven rotations with a USD hedge target extra upside in risk-on periods and volatility resilience. Note: levered positions can incur large drawdowns (oos max DD ~70%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.46 | 0.97 | 0.18 | 0.42 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 365.47% | 13.46% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.82 | |
| 51,973.85% | 67.13% | -0.52% | 4.35% | 1.48 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$5,207,385.26Regulatory Fees
$26,115.24
Total Slippage
$172,795.54
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 19, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, rsi-based, volatility filter, contrarian rotation, leveraged etfs, equities, bonds, u.s. dollar
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks