V1a Simple Portfolio (UVXY)
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About
A tactical strategy that flips between betting on a fear spike (UVXY) when markets look overheated, buying oversold bounces with 3x equity funds, and holding defensive mixes (dividends/bonds/gold/dollar) when conditions are in between.
It’s a rule-based switch. It watches RSI (a 0–100 “heat meter” of recent price moves: >80=very hot, <30=washed‑out). When markets/sectors look too hot, it buys UVXY—a fund that jumps when fear spikes—anticipating a pullback. When they look washed‑out, it buys short‑term bounce plays (3x tech/semis/S&P). Otherwise it rotates between calm/fear trades (SVXY/VIX funds) and safer mixes (dividends, Treasuries, gold, dollar, commodities).
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe 1.75 vs S&P 1.41; Calmar 3.38; annualized return ~79% vs ~22% for the S&P. A tactical volatility-driven strategy with defensive layers delivering stronger risk-adjusted upside and managed drawdowns.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 22, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 1%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, volatility timing, leveraged etfs, risk-on/risk-off, sector rotation, mean reversion, defensive hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 33 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DGRO
iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X Shares
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Shares
Stocks
SCHD
Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks