A rules-based strategy that shifts between tech stocks, broad U.S. stocks, bearish hedges, defensive assets, and commodities based on market trend, dollar strength, bond signals, and short-term overbought/oversold conditions.

This strategy acts like an automatic market-weather system. It mainly wants to own big U.S. growth stocks through QQQ (home to names like Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Nvidia). But before it invests, it checks whether the market looks healthy, overheated, or stressed using trend and momentum signals. If stocks look strong, it usually stays with growth stocks. If tech looks too hot, it can temporarily bet against the Nasdaq using PSQ. If markets look weak, it may hide in safer areas like short-term bonds (SHY), the U.S. dollar (USDU), or a defensive fund called BTAL, which is designed to hold up better in selloffs. It also watches bonds and the U.S. dollar for bigger economic clues. When those signals line up, it may rotate into commodities such as broad raw materials (PDBC), oil (OILK), materials stocks (XLB), or gold miners (GDXJ). After sharp market drops, it sometimes tries to buy a rebound—occasionally with extra-aggressive funds like QLD or SSO, which magnify stock moves.

Out-of-sample return ~33% vs ~23% for the S&P, with lower drawdowns (~17.7% vs ~18.8%) and Calmar ~1.86. Growth tilt when signals are favorable, plus macro hedges in risk-off via dollar/bonds/commodities.