V1a NVDA or LLY
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Daily switches between Nvidia (growth) and Eli Lilly (defensive growth) using mean‑reversion (RSI), trend (25‑day average), and bond/yield‑curve signals; briefly shorts semiconductors (SOXS) when tech looks overheated.
Each day it holds one: NVDA, LLY, or briefly SOXS (a fund that rises when chip stocks fall). It watches tech (QQQ/TQQQ) and bonds (BND, IEF, TLT, TMF). RSI = a 0–100 gauge of recent up vs down days; a 25‑day moving average is the recent average price; a drawdown is the drop from a recent high.
Rules: extreme hot tech → SOXS; sharp selloff/oversold → NVDA; steady uptrend → NVDA; rising stress or weak trend → LLY; bond/yield‑curve cues tip NVDA vs LLY.
Out-of-sample: ≈40.65% annualized return vs SPY ≈22.98%. A dynamic NVDA/LLY rotation with hedges aims for stronger growth, while acknowledging bigger drawdowns (≈51.53% vs ≈18.76%).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 0.77 | 0.02 | 0.14 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 691.05% | 13.84% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.84 | |
| 3,661,737.79% | 93.23% | -1.83% | 14.26% | 0.92 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$366,183,779.32Regulatory Fees
$920,107.11
Total Slippage
$6,592,634.06
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 9, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, regime switching, mean reversion, momentum, bond signals, single-stock, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
LLY
Eli Lilly & Co.
Stocks
NVDA
Nvidia Corp
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks