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About
A daily, rules-based ETF strategy that switches between growth and defense. It uses market trends, a short-term tech “oversold” trigger, and bond/dollar signals to rotate among stocks (incl. semis/tech), the US dollar, hedges, and commodities.
Each day it asks: Is the S&P 500 above its 200‑day average? If yes, buy what’s strongest (broad US stocks, chipmakers, or a small sub‑model). If no, tilt to staples/value/energy and let the sub‑model steer defense. A QQQ oversold signal can briefly switch to tech. The sub‑model uses bond and dollar trends and TIP vs STIP to flip between growth (QQQ/leveraged beta) and defense (US dollar, anti‑beta hedge, or low‑drawdown picks among commodities).
Outperforms the S&P 500 on risk-adjusted and raw returns: oos Sharpe ~1.58 vs ~1.39, oos annualized return ~47% vs ~23%, and lower drawdown ~17% vs ~19%, with Calmar ~2.78. Daily regime switching seeks growth in rallies and defense in pullbacks.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Nov 18, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical etf rotation, trend-following, risk-on/off, sector rotation, momentum, defensive hedging, macro signals
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 20 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GDXJ
VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF
Stocks
OILK
ProShares K-1 Free Crude Oil ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SPYV
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF
Stocks
SSO
ProShares Ultra S&P500
Stocks