V1a | Fund Surfing | Michael B
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A two-mode backtested strategy: in calm times, buy the one asset with the lowest 20-day RSI among five ETFs; in volatile times, switch to the levered Treasury pair (TMF/TMV) chosen by short-term drawdown. No regular rebalancing; uses RSI and drawdown filters to time shifts between equity and bond exposure.
Two-mode tactical rule set.
Mode 1 (not too volatile): If UVXY’s RSI over 20 days is below 70, pick one asset from the list {SOXL, SHY, SPY, TECL, UPRO} that has the lowest RSI over the last 20 days and put 100% of capital there.
Mode 2 (volatility high): If UVXY’s RSI over 20 days is 70 or above, switch to a Treasury-bonds tilt between TMF (long 20+ year Treasuries, levered) and TMV (inverse levered). The chosen option is the one with the better short-term risk profile, determined by sorting by maximum drawdown over a 5-day window and selecting the top/bottom as configured.
Important: Rebalancing is set to none, so positions aren’t routinely shifted unless the rule conditions trigger a new pick. This strategy uses simple momentum (RSI) and short-term drawdown screens rather than advanced optimization.
Two-mode, rules-based strategy: calm markets chase the strongest momentum among select ETFs; spikes tilt to levered Treasuries. Out-of-sample return ~48% annually vs SPY ~23%, with volatility-aware risk checks and no routine rebalancing.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 20, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Momentum, levered etfs, volatility-driven switch, risk-control, tactical asset allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks