V1a Dereck Nielsen All Weather Portfolio
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules‑based “all‑weather” mix: tactical stock/tech that flips between growth, bonds, or hedges using long‑ and short‑term trend checks, plus commodity/gold/bond sleeves owned only when rising. Uses some 2x and inverse ETFs to dial risk up/down.
It splits the portfolio in two: ~40% a stock/tech sleeve and ~60% in commodities, gold, and bonds. It uses trends (moving averages = average price over months) and a short‑term “heat” score (RSI, 0–100: >80 hot, <30 washed out). Offense may use 2x funds; defense shifts to Treasuries/T‑Bills or hedges.
Main funds: SPY (S&P 500), QQQ (big‑tech), TLT/IEF/IEI (Treasuries), SHV/SHY (T‑Bills), NANR (resources), XME (metals/miners), SMH (semis), SSO/QLD (2x long), PSQ/QID/SH (short).
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~28% annual return vs ~23.6% for the S&P, with higher Sharpe (~1.75 vs 1.48), lower beta (~0.84), smaller drawdowns (~18.5% vs 18.8%), and Calmar ~1.51 for steadier growth.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.16 | 0.55 | 0.52 | 0.72 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 282.74% | 14.03% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.82 | |
| 969.22% | 26.09% | -1.16% | 6.94% | 1.75 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$106,921.90Regulatory Fees
$137.62
Total Slippage
$838.46
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 26, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 7%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, trend following, momentum, risk management, equities, treasuries, commodities, gold, leveraged etfs, inverse etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 19 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
NANR
State Street SPDR S&P North American Natural Resources ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks