V1a Dereck Nielsen All Weather Portfolio
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A rules-based, “all-weather” mix: tech‑tilted stocks that get aggressive in uptrends and hedge in declines, plus commodities/gold/Treasuries chosen by long‑term momentum. Uses leveraged/inverse ETFs tactically to grow while aiming to limit deep drawdowns.
Two sleeves. 1) About 40% in growth stocks (QQQ/SPY). It dials risk up with 2x funds (SSO/QLD) in uptrends, but if prices are stretched (RSI high) or fall below key moving averages, it cuts risk, shifts to Treasuries (TLT/IEF), T‑bills (SHV), or inverse hedges (PSQ/QID/SH). 2) About 60% in diversifiers: owns resources (NANR), metals/miners (XME) and 7–10y Treasuries (IEF) only when long‑term trends are positive; otherwise holds SHV. RSI = short‑term overbought/oversold; MAs = trend lines.
Out-of-sample, this strategy outperforms the S&P on risk-adjusted return: ~28% vs ~23.6% annualized, Sharpe ~1.75 vs 1.48, beta ~0.84, with similar drawdowns. An all-weather, trend-following hedge approach designed to grow in rallies and protect in declines.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 26, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 7%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, trend-following, momentum, risk-managed, leveraged/inverse etfs, multi-asset, all-weather, hedged equities
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 19 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
NANR
State Street SPDR S&P North American Natural Resources ETF
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SDS
ProShares UltraShort S&P500
Stocks