V1a Blend: V4 & V5 CFS + BBD, BHFEAR | BIL + Pure BS Catcher (Garen Phillips)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A daily, rules‑based mix that rotates between 3x S&P/Nasdaq, 3x long Treasuries, and T‑bills; buys sharp dips in weak markets and occasionally hedges with UVXY. Focus: trend + volatility + simple momentum to switch risk on/off.
Portfolio = 25% V4 + 25% V5 + 50% “BS Catcher,” rebalanced daily. It checks trend (200‑day avg), how bumpy markets are, and a simple momentum score (RSI). In calm uptrends it holds a 55/45 mix of turbo stocks (UPRO/TQQQ) and 3x long Treasuries (TMF). If trend is weak/choppy it parks in T‑bills (BIL/BSV) and only buys 3x funds after ~5% weekly dips. In downtrends it stays in short bonds and, on rare overheated signals, briefly uses UVXY (volatility hedge).
Out-of-sample edge: ~30.7% annualized returns vs SPY’s ~22.3%, with Calmar ~1.10 and Sharpe ~1.31. A regime-switching mix aims bigger trend upside while hedging in chop—even if drawdowns can exceed SPY.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 29, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, trend-following, buy-the-dip, volatility timing, risk-on/risk-off, us equities, treasuries, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 10 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks