V1a 15/15 BB + V1.1 Cash USDU & Stocks | BTAL - K-1 Free
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily, rule-based, multi-asset strategy that blends stock exposure with hedges (US dollar, anti-beta fund) and a diverse ETF universe. It uses Bollinger-band/momentum screens and a bear-market overlay to tilt between risk-on assets and defensive holdings, then selects a small, risk-controlled basket (often 1–2 assets) with equal cash weighting.
- It rebalances every trading day, allocating cash evenly among a selected set of ETFs (the “wt-cash-equal” steps).
- It uses a suite of signals to decide when to own stocks and related bets and when to stay in cash or hedges.
- The gate is a Bollinger-band / momentum framework (the 15/15 BB) plus RSI-type momentum checks, which gate buying when conditions look favorable and avoid it when conditions look stretched or extreme.
- A Bear Market check looks at the market trend via the Nasdaq-100 proxy (QQQ) against its short- and long-term moving averages. If the trend is weak, the system leans toward cash-like hedges (USDU for dollars, BTAL for anti-beta exposure). If the trend is strong, it allows risk assets to be included.
- Within the “risk-on” path, the strategy builds a small universe of candidate assets from several groups (described below), scores or filters them using volatility (standard deviation) and drawdown criteria over different windows, and then selects a small number of assets (often 1 or 2) to hold.
- The asset pool includes broad market ETFs (SPY, QQQ), sector/leveraged ETFs (SOXL, SOXS), dollar and hedged exposures (USDU, BTAL, UUP), bonds (TLT, IEF, BIL, etc.), commodities (PDBC, OILK), and other thematic plays (XLB, GDXJ, QLD, SSO).
- Some conditions explicitly look for oversold/bullish setups (e.g., RSI thresholds like 75, 27) to time entries.
- The framework weighs risk controls (e.g., max drawdown, volatility screens) so it tends to favor lower-risk alternatives when conditions deteriorate.
- The “K-1 Free” tag indicates the BTAL portion is chosen to avoid K‑1 tax forms, simplifying tax reporting for retail investors.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~37% vs SPY ~25%, supported by a bear-market overlay and hedges to participate in rallies while limiting downside. A focused, rule-based multi-asset approach with transparent risk controls.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 28, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, rule-based, risk-managed, volatility-filtered, leveraged etfs, k-1 free
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GDXJ
VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
OILK
ProShares K-1 Free Crude Oil ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks