V1.6a Adaptive All Weather Portfolio+Battleship III
Today’s Change (Mar 23, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules‑driven, K‑1‑free “all‑weather” portfolio that adapts to stocks, bonds, rates, volatility, and commodities. It uses simple trend/“heat” signals to rotate between growth, defensives, USD, bonds (incl. 3x long/short), and commodity hedges to seek strong returns with crash protection.
Big picture: about 30% stocks, 55% bonds, 15% tactical. An “emergency brake” watches market fear (VIX ETFs). If fear spikes, it either hides in T‑Bills/short‑term bonds or holds one 2x index fund only if the market trend is still up.
Signals in plain English:
- Trend: price vs its recent average (above = uptrend).
- RSI: a 0–100 “heat meter” of recent moves (high=hot, low=cold).
- Cumulative return: % move over a set period.
- Drawdown: recent peak‑to‑bottom slide.
Stocks: In good times, it leans into growth (often 2x/3x S&P/Nasdaq/Tech/Semis). If rates rise or trends weaken, it shifts to defensives (Staples, Energy, Dividend/Value/Quality), adds a long‑US dollar fund, and may use index shorts.
Bonds: If rates fall, it uses 3x long‑Treasury funds to ride the rally. If rates rise, it can short Treasuries and/or hold a strong‑US‑dollar fund. If bonds are stable, it holds regular Treasury funds.
Tactical sleeve: If stocks lead and are trending, it rotates between S&P/Nasdaq and briefly adds a volatility hedge on sharp swings. If commodities lead, it rotates across broad commodities, gold/silver/oil/grains, or an inflation basket. All ETFs are K‑1‑free.
All-weather, K-1-free, rule-based strategy blending stocks, bonds, USD, and commodities with crash protection. OOS: 16.1% annualized return, 32% max drawdown, Sharpe 0.83 vs SPY 22.8%/18.8% and 1.43. Diversifies risk in volatile regimes.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.42 | 0.39 | 0.11 | 0.33 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 159.31% | 13.87% | -5.67% | -5.04% | 0.76 | |
| 2,580.6% | 56.55% | 2.81% | -1.29% | 2.02 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$268,059.58Regulatory Fees
$1,265.01
Total Slippage
$7,709.77
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 8, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset, tactical allocation, trend-following, volatility-aware, leveraged & inverse etfs, long/short, crash protection, inflation hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 59 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BOIL
ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COMT
iShares U.S. ETF Trust iShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF
Stocks
CORN
Teucrium Corn Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DRN
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks