V1.5 BWC: GoldBug
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, rule-based Gold-and-miners strategy that uses RSI and moving-average signals to tilt between levered gold/miner ETFs (UGL/NUGT), their inverse hedges (JDST/DUST), base gold (GLD), and cash-like safety assets, aiming for upside in favorable momentum while dampening risk in choppy markets.
What the strategy does for you, in plain terms:
- It runs every day and decides where to put your money among gold and gold-related assets and a safety/cash sleeve.
- It looks at momentum signals (RSI) for several assets (GLD, UGL, NUGT, GDX, JDST, DUST) and checks if prices are above or below short moving averages to confirm a trend.
- If momentum for gold looks strong (low RSI on GLD and favorable price trends), it tends to tilt toward bullish, levered bets on gold and miners (UGL, NUGT). If momentum is weaker or overbought (high RSI) or trends look shaky, it shifts toward hedges or cash (JDST, DUST, BIL, SHY/SHV, UUP, SPYV, SVXY).
- The strategy uses nested rules to decide between competing signals. It also groups related bets (a "wrapper" concept) so that positions in miners and their inverse plays can be activated together under certain conditions.
- The overall aim is to capture upside in gold and miners when momentum is favorable while staying partially protected in cash or risk-off assets when momentum deteriorates.
- Important caveat: levered ETFs can swing a lot; this approach is tactical, not passive, and is designed for discrete market regimes rather than steady growth in all conditions.
Out-of-sample edge: ~51% annualized return vs ~19% (S&P), Sharpe ~1.63 vs 1.14, Calmar ~2.96, and drawdown ~17.4% vs ~18.8%, with low beta (~0.14) and risk-aware momentum in gold/miners.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3 | 0.28 | 0.03 | 0.16 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 378.04% | 13.47% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.82 | |
| 3,834.6% | 34.52% | 7.04% | 14.4% | 1.14 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$393,459.82Regulatory Fees
$2,287.44
Total Slippage
$14,211.54
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 16, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Gold, leveraged etfs, momentum, risk-managed, trend-following
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
DUST
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bear 2X ETF
Stocks
GDX
VanEck Gold Miners ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GLL
ProShares UltraShort Gold
Stocks
JDST
Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bear 2X ETF
Stocks
NUGT
Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPYV
State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF
Stocks