V1.3.1 ChatGPT Beats SPY
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily switcher that reads a fear gauge and simple trend/overbought signals to toggle among leveraged tech (TQQQ), volatility spikes (UVXY), short tech (SQQQ), low‑vol stocks (SPLV), and cash‑like/bond ETFs (BIL, SHY, AGG) to pursue growth while managing shocks.
Each day it checks a fear gauge (VIXM). If fear is rising, it either hides in cash‑like T‑Bills (BIL), buys volatility (UVXY), or buys a quick tech rebound (TQQQ=3x Nasdaq) using simple overbought/oversold, drawdown, and trend tests. If fear is calm, it rotates among: aggressive tech (90% TQQQ+10% SHY), defensive stocks+bonds (SPLV+AGG), or short tech (SQQQ) based on recent 5‑day moves and 50/200‑day trends.
Out-of-sample: ~31.2% annualized return vs 22.2% for the S&P, driven by regime switching and selective leverage. Expect higher drawdowns (~48% max) in stress, but potential for stronger growth when regimes stay favorable.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.53 | 1.4 | 0.23 | 0.48 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685.88% | 15.41% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.94 | |
| 954,185.65% | 89.12% | 5.39% | -1.5% | 1.54 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$95,428,564.71Regulatory Fees
$351,728.96
Total Slippage
$2,502,944.70
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 21, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, volatility regime, trend following, mean reversion, leveraged etfs, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPLV
Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks