v1.3 | SVXY FTLT frontrunner UVXY mod (SVXY actually held)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A high-risk, rule-based volatility-trading approach that uses 10-day RSI signals from a wide ETF set to time entries into UVXY (and in some versions SVXY). It aims to take a 100% position when RSI conditions are met, operating with no regular rebalancing and using SVXY as a frontrunner/Hedge in certain variants. It’s designed to capture volatility spikes but carries significant risk and path-dependence.
- Start with cash and aim to allocate 100% to a volatility ETF when triggering conditions are met.
- The trigger is a series of RSI(10) tests on a broad set of popular ETFs (QQQE, VTV, VOX, TECL, VOOG, XLP, XLY, XLC, XLE, SPY, and others).
- If any of those RSI(10) values exceed 80, you place 100% of cash into UVXY (ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF).
- If the primary RSI>80 condition isn’t satisfied, the code walks through nested alternative tests (also based on RSI>80 for other tickers) that can route to UVXY, and in the v1.3 variant, to SVXY (ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF) instead.
- There’s an additional check involving a 6-day cumulative_return of TQQQ (threshold > 5.5) that can influence the allocation, adding a short-term momentum filter.
- Rebalancing is set to none, with a cash-equal posture at the decision point (100/100 weight) when a signal fires.
- The naming indicates an intention to use SVXY as a frontrunner to UVXY (i.e., hedge/prepare before committing to UVXY in some versions), but SVXY may actually be held in certain variants (v1.3).
- The strategy is a high-risk, binary-entry approach: either a full long UVXY position or, in some variants, a full long SVXY position, with no gradual scaling or diversified asset mix.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~40% vs SPY ~22%, with RSI-driven volatility timing into UVXY/SVXY. Captures large upside in volatility bursts, but carries substantial drawdown risk. Suited for risk-tolerant investors seeking alpha beyond the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 3, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility trading, rsi-based timing, 1-asset position sizing, uvxy/svxy, high-risk tactical play
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
VOOG
Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF
Stocks
VOOV
Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF
Stocks