V1.2.1 | Momentum Mean Reversion LETFs with Black Swan Catcher | DJKeyhole 🧙‍♂️ | No UGE
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Aggressive, rules-based swing strategy using 3x ETFs. Buys sharp dips in tech/QQQ/semis for quick rebounds, flips to crash hedges when fear spikes, and switches between leveraged long/short Treasuries based on the rate trend. Very high risk.
- First, it checks big trends in stocks (SPY) and long Treasuries (TLT) to decide offense vs. defense and whether rates are likely falling (TMF) or rising (TMV).
- Offense: after quick sell-offs in tech/QQQ/semis (e.g., TQQQ), it buys the ones that just dropped the most, aiming for a short-term bounce.
- If fear spikes (volatility gauge UVXY is “hot”) or stocks plunge fast, it rotates to crash hedges (UVXY, inverse ETFs), cash/T‑bills, US dollar, gold, or energy/commodities.
- It keeps watching TLT to flip between leveraged long-bond (TMF) and short-bond (TMV) positions.
Out-of-sample upside potential is compelling: annualized return ~42.9% vs SPY ~23.2%, with a Calmar ~0.86. The strategy uses regime-switching and crash hedges to target outsized long-run growth, accepting higher drawdowns for bigger upside vs the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 19, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 24%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, tactical allocation, mean reversion, momentum, volatility hedge, bond/rate timing, commodities defense
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 44 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BRZU
Direxion Daily MSCI Brazil Bull 2X ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
CURE
Direxion Daily Healthcare Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DIG
ProShares Ultra Energy
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
EFA
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Stocks
EPI
WisdomTree India Earnings Fund ETF
Stocks