v1.2 Adaptive All Weather Portfolio | Garen Crash Protection Mod
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules‑based, all‑weather portfolio that shifts across stocks, bonds, commodities, the US dollar, and inverse/leveraged ETFs. It uses simple trend and “heat” signals to go risk‑on in falling‑rate climates, get defensive in rising rates, and flip to crash mode when volatility spikes.
It’s an “all‑weather” mix that adapts to the backdrop.
- When stress spikes (VIXY high), it either holds one 2x stock fund if the trend is still up, or hides in short‑term bonds/T‑Bills.
- Otherwise: ~30% stocks, ~55% bonds, ~15% commodities.
It uses simple signals:
- RSI = a recent‑moves “heat meter”.
- Moving average = trend.
- Short lookbacks = momentum/mean‑reversion.
It adds USD strength and even inverse/leveraged funds in rising‑rate or crash regimes.
Adaptive all-weather strategy that beats the S&P 500 out-of-sample: 23.63% vs 21.69% annualized returns, lower drawdown (18.33% vs 18.76%), and Calmar ~1.29, delivered by a rules-based, regime-aware, diversified approach.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.22 | 0.35 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 269.18% | 14.93% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.86 | |
| 1,096.39% | 30.27% | -1.58% | -0.05% | 1.72 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$119,638.93Regulatory Fees
$482.36
Total Slippage
$2,891.97
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 25, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
All-weather,tactical allocation,trend & mean-reversion,leveraged & inverse etfs,crash protection,multi-asset,macro regime-driven
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 36 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COMT
iShares U.S. ETF Trust iShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GLTR
abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF
Stocks
OILK
ProShares K-1 Free Crude Oil ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks