v1.2 Adaptive All Weather Portfolio | Garen Crash Protection Mod
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
An adaptive, K‑1 free All‑Weather portfolio with a volatility-triggered crash shield. It rotates among leveraged stocks, bonds (long or short), the US dollar, and commodities using simple trend signals to handle rising rates and pursue long‑run equity‑like returns.
First, a panic switch: if a volatility ETF (VIXY) looks “hot” by RSI (a 0–100 heat score of recent moves), it either hides in short‑term bonds/T‑bills or keeps a small 2x stock stake if trend is up. Otherwise it runs a 30/55/15 mix: Stocks 30% (offense with 2–3x S&P/Nasdaq and tech/semis when bonds beat T‑bills; defense with staples/energy, bear funds SDS/SQQQ, plus long USD via USDU when rates rise), Bonds 55% (flip among 1x, 3x long, or 3x short Treasuries based on TLT trend), Commodities 15% (gold/oil/broad basket).
Out-of-sample edge: 23.6% annualized return vs ~21.7% for the S&P, beta ~0.55, drawdowns ~18.3–18.8%, Calmar ~1.29. An adaptive, K‑1‑free All‑Weather strategy with a volatility crash shield for equity-like gains with less market beta.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.22 | 0.35 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 261.46% | 14.61% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.84 | |
| 1,101.37% | 30.2% | 1.24% | 1.81% | 1.72 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$120,136.81Regulatory Fees
$488.10
Total Slippage
$2,926.97
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 25, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
All-weather, tactical allocation, trend following, volatility switch, leveraged etfs, long/short, bond hedging, commodities, crash protection
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 36 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
COMT
iShares U.S. ETF Trust iShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
GLTR
abrdn Physical Precious Metals Basket Shares ETF
Stocks
OILK
ProShares K-1 Free Crude Oil ETF
Stocks
PDBC
Invesco Actively Managed Exch-Traded Commodity Fd Tr Invesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF
Stocks