V1.1.1a| Elon's Walk of Shame | HinnomTX | 237.9% AR | 39% DD | Dec2012-Dec2022 Replace TQQQ, QID, and SQQQ with SOXL and SOXS
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A tactical Tesla/semiconductor strategy that flips between risk‑on and risk‑off using a tech trend filter and short‑term dip/rip signals. In risk‑on it buys TSLA or SOXL on dips; after sharp pops it hedges with SOXS/UVXY. In risk‑off it shifts to hedges or bonds.
Market check: if TQQQ is above its ~200‑day average, it’s risk‑on; else risk‑off. Risk‑on: buy big 6‑day dips; after a big 1‑day pop, hedge with UVXY/SOXS. Otherwise, hold TSLA with small, bond‑guided hedges (BIL vs LQD; IEI vs SPTL). Risk‑off: prefer hedges unless TSLA is rising. RSI = a short‑term “heat” score.
Tickers: TSLA; SOXL/SOXS=3x semis ±; UVXY=VIX; UUP=$; TBF=−LT Treas; EDV=+LT Treas; IEI/SPTL=mid/long Treas; BIL/LQD=T‑bills/corp; BSV=short bonds; STIP/VTIP=TIPS.
Out-of-sample edge: ~60% annualized return vs SPY ~23%, with Calmar ~1.46 indicating strong risk-adjusted gains. A tactical tech/semis strategy using risk-on/off regimes and hedges to aim for higher upside than the S&P 500, noting larger drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | 0.51 | 0.02 | 0.14 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 512.99% | 14.58% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.89 | |
| 113,828,241.28% | 184.86% | -21.78% | -11.89% | 1.97 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$11,382,834,127.75Regulatory Fees
$33,552,977.81
Total Slippage
$241,322,693.78
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Dec 27, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical timing, trend+mean reversion, leveraged etfs, tech/semis, tesla-focused, bonds/usd hedges, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
EDV
Vanguard World Funds Extended Duration ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
LQD
iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPTL
State Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks